A win by the Washington Commanders over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Dec. 29 at 8:20 p.m. ET (at Commanders Field). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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On offense, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by averaging 373.5 yards per game. They rank ninth on defense (322.9 yards allowed per game). From an offensive standpoint, the Falcons are posting 21.8 points per game (16th-ranked). They rank 20th in the NFL defensively (23.3 points surrendered per game).

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Commanders vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Commanders’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
• Washington has compiled a 9-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
• The Commanders are 3-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Washington games have hit the over 10 out of 15 times this season.
• Commanders games this season have posted an average total of 46.1, which is 0.4 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons Betting Info

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
• Atlanta has covered six times in 15 chances against the spread this year.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
• So far this season, five of Atlanta’s 15 games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• Falcons games average 46 total points, 0.5 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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