Thursday’s contest that pits the Arkansas State Red Wolves (10-3, 1-0 Sun Belt) against the Old Dominion Monarchs (5-8, 1-0 Sun Belt) at Chartway Arena should be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 80-69 in favor of Arkansas State, who is big favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 2.

Based on our computer prediction, Arkansas State should cover the point spread, which is listed at 10.5. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 154.5 total.

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Arkansas State vs. Old Dominion Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Norfolk, Virginia
• Venue: Chartway Arena
• Line: Arkansas State -10.5
• Point total: 154.5
• Moneyline (to win): Arkansas State -592, Old Dominion +410

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Arkansas State vs. Old Dominion Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Arkansas State 80, Old Dominion 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Arkansas State vs. Old Dominion

• Pick ATS: Arkansas State (-10.5)
• Pick OU: Under (154.5)

Arkansas State has gone 5-7-0 against the spread, while Old Dominion’s ATS record this season is 5-6-0. A total of seven out of the Red Wolves’ games this season have hit the over, and six of the Monarchs’ games have gone over. The teams score 150.6 points per game combined, 3.9 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Arkansas State is 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 games, while Old Dominion has gone 5-5 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves average 80.7 points per game (75th in college basketball) while giving up 71.5 per outing (197th in college basketball). They have a +119 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 9.2 points per game.
• Arkansas State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 1.8 boards. It is grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game (10th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.7 per outing.
• Arkansas State makes 9.6 three-pointers per game (50th in college basketball) while shooting 31.9% from beyond the arc (274th in college basketball). It is making 2.9 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 6.7 per game while shooting 30.6%.
• The Red Wolves rank 225th in college basketball with 94.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 49th in college basketball defensively with 84.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Arkansas State has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 11.4 per game (167th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.0 (114th in college basketball).

Old Dominion Performance Insights

• The Monarchs have been outscored by 5.1 points per game (posting 69.9 points per game, 305th in college basketball, while allowing 75.0 per contest, 278th in college basketball) and have a -66 scoring differential.
• Old Dominion is 55th in the nation at 35.8 rebounds per game. That’s 1.6 more than the 34.2 its opponents average.
• Old Dominion connects on 6.5 three-pointers per game (300th in college basketball) at a 30.6% rate (308th in college basketball), compared to the 7.1 its opponents make, shooting 34.5% from beyond the arc.
• Old Dominion has committed 3.1 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 13.1 (305th in college basketball) while forcing 10.0 (325th in college basketball).

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