How to Pick the Capitals vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – March 1
Published 12:39 pm Friday, February 28, 2025
There are a variety of betting options to take into account for the upcoming contest that has the Washington Capitals going up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1. To get you ready to make a bet or put together a parlay, take a look at our best bets and predictions below.
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Capitals vs. Lightning Picks
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Total Pick
Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)
- This season, 32 of Washington’s 59 games have gone over Saturday’s over/under of 5.5 goals.
- A total of 31 of Tampa Bay’s games have ended with more than 5.5 goals this season.
- The Capitals score 3.63 goals per game, compared to the Lightning’s average of 3.57, adding up to 1.7 more goals than this contest’s total of 5.5.
- These two teams allow a combined 5.2 goals per game, 0.3 less than this one’s over/under.
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Moneyline Pick
Capitals Moneyline: -128
- In the 34 times this season the Capitals have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 21-13 in those games.
- Washington is 18-11 (winning 62.1% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -128 or shorter.
- The Capitals have a 56.1% chance (based on the moneyline’s implied probability) to win this contest.
Lightning Moneyline: +108
- In 16 games as the underdog on the moneyline, Tampa Bay has achieved the upset six times.
- The Lightning have three victories in games with moneyline odds of +108 or longer (in nine chances).
- Tampa Bay’s implied probability to win this matchup is 48.1% based on the moneyline.
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Score Prediction
Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2
Capitals Points Leaders
- One of Washington’s top offensive players this season is Dylan Strome, who has recorded 59 points in 59 games.
- With 23 goals and 27 assists, Aliaksei Protas is one of the most important offensive options for Washington with his 50 points (0.8 per game).
- With 49 points through 59 games (14 goals and 35 assists), Pierre-Luc Dubois has been an important part of Washington’s offensive efforts this season.
- Logan Thompson (25-3-5) has a 2.3 goals against average and a save percentage of .919 for Washington.
Lightning Points Leaders
- Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov has totaled 58 assists and 27 goals in 55 games, good for 85 points.
- Brandon Hagel is crucial for Tampa Bay’s offense with 67 total points (1.2 per game), including 29 goals and 38 assists through 58 games.
- Brayden Point has scored 31 goals and contributed 29 assists for Tampa Bay, giving him a point total of 60.
- Andrei Vasilevskiy has a .922 save percentage (fourth-best in the league), with 1182 total saves, while giving up 100 goals (2.2 goals against average). He has put up a 28-15-3 record between the posts for Tampa Bay this season.
Capitals’ Schedule
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Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
2/23/2025 | Oilers | W 7-3 | Home | +117 |
2/25/2025 | Flames | L 3-1 | Home | -201 |
2/27/2025 | Blues | L 5-2 | Home | -164 |
3/1/2025 | Lightning | – | Home | -128 |
3/3/2025 | Senators | – | Home | – |
3/5/2025 | Rangers | – | Away | – |
3/7/2025 | Red Wings | – | Home | – |
Lightning’s Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
2/23/2025 | Kraken | W 4-1 | Home | -279 |
2/25/2025 | Oilers | W 4-1 | Home | -120 |
2/27/2025 | Flames | W 3-0 | Home | -219 |
3/1/2025 | Capitals | – | Away | +108 |
3/3/2025 | Panthers | – | Away | – |
3/4/2025 | Blue Jackets | – | Home | – |
3/6/2025 | Sabres | – | Home | – |
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Washington vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
- Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
- Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
- How to watch on TV: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Location: Washington D.C.
- Venue: Capital One Arena
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