How to Pick the Capitals vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – March 1

Published 12:39 pm Friday, February 28, 2025

There are a variety of betting options to take into account for the upcoming contest that has the Washington Capitals going up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1. To get you ready to make a bet or put together a parlay, take a look at our best bets and predictions below.

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Capitals vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

  • This season, 32 of Washington’s 59 games have gone over Saturday’s over/under of 5.5 goals.
  • A total of 31 of Tampa Bay’s games have ended with more than 5.5 goals this season.
  • The Capitals score 3.63 goals per game, compared to the Lightning’s average of 3.57, adding up to 1.7 more goals than this contest’s total of 5.5.
  • These two teams allow a combined 5.2 goals per game, 0.3 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Capitals Moneyline: -128

  • In the 34 times this season the Capitals have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 21-13 in those games.
  • Washington is 18-11 (winning 62.1% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -128 or shorter.
  • The Capitals have a 56.1% chance (based on the moneyline’s implied probability) to win this contest.

Lightning Moneyline: +108

  • In 16 games as the underdog on the moneyline, Tampa Bay has achieved the upset six times.
  • The Lightning have three victories in games with moneyline odds of +108 or longer (in nine chances).
  • Tampa Bay’s implied probability to win this matchup is 48.1% based on the moneyline.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Capitals Points Leaders

  • One of Washington’s top offensive players this season is Dylan Strome, who has recorded 59 points in 59 games.
  • With 23 goals and 27 assists, Aliaksei Protas is one of the most important offensive options for Washington with his 50 points (0.8 per game).
  • With 49 points through 59 games (14 goals and 35 assists), Pierre-Luc Dubois has been an important part of Washington’s offensive efforts this season.
  • Logan Thompson (25-3-5) has a 2.3 goals against average and a save percentage of .919 for Washington.

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov has totaled 58 assists and 27 goals in 55 games, good for 85 points.
  • Brandon Hagel is crucial for Tampa Bay’s offense with 67 total points (1.2 per game), including 29 goals and 38 assists through 58 games.
  • Brayden Point has scored 31 goals and contributed 29 assists for Tampa Bay, giving him a point total of 60.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a .922 save percentage (fourth-best in the league), with 1182 total saves, while giving up 100 goals (2.2 goals against average). He has put up a 28-15-3 record between the posts for Tampa Bay this season.

Capitals’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/23/2025 Oilers W 7-3 Home +117
2/25/2025 Flames L 3-1 Home -201
2/27/2025 Blues L 5-2 Home -164
3/1/2025 Lightning Home -128
3/3/2025 Senators Home
3/5/2025 Rangers Away
3/7/2025 Red Wings Home

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/23/2025 Kraken W 4-1 Home -279
2/25/2025 Oilers W 4-1 Home -120
2/27/2025 Flames W 3-0 Home -219
3/1/2025 Capitals Away +108
3/3/2025 Panthers Away
3/4/2025 Blue Jackets Home
3/6/2025 Sabres Home

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Washington vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

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