For the upcoming battle between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Washington Capitals on Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET, we have outlined the best bets to consider, along with our picks and predictions, in the piece below.

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Lightning vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

• This season, 31 of Tampa Bay’s 58 games have gone over Saturday’s total of 6 goals.
• A total of 32 of Washington’s games have ended with over 6 goals this season.
• These two teams combine for 7.2 goals per game, 1.2 more than the over/under for this contest.
• This game’s total is 0.8 more than the 5.2 goals these two teams allow per game combined.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -111

• In the 42 times this season the Lightning have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 28-14 in those games.
• In games it has played with moneyline odds of -111 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 28-14 (winning 66.7% of the time).
• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 52.6% to win.

Capitals Moneyline: -109

• Washington has secured an upset victory 17 times when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (in 25 games as the underdog).
• The Capitals have 17 wins in games when their odds are -109 or longer on the moneyline (in 25 opportunities).
• Washington’s moneyline gives it an implied probability of 52.2% to win this contest.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Lightning Points Leaders

• With 27 goals and 58 assists this season, Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors (85 points).
• Having scored 29 goals and adding 38 assists, Brandon Hagel is a strong contributor for Tampa Bay through 58 games.
• Tampa Bay’s offensive effort is aided by Brayden Point’s 67 points. He’s contributed 29 assists.
• As Tampa Bay’s top goalie, Andrei Vasilevskiy has recorded 28 wins and 15 losses this season while giving up 100 goals with 1182 saves.

Capitals Points Leaders

• Washington’s Dylan Strome has totaled 41 assists and 18 goals in 59 games, good for 59 points.
• Aliaksei Protas has made a major impact for Washington this season with 50 points, thanks to 23 goals and 27 assists.
• Pierre-Luc Dubois has 14 goals and 35 assists for Tampa Bay.
• Logan Thompson’s record stands at 25-3-5 on the season, giving up 75 goals (2.3 goals against average) and compiling 855 saves with a .919 save percentage (fifth-best in the league).

Lightning’s Schedule

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Capitals’ Schedule

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Tampa Bay vs. Washington Game Info

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Venue: Capital One Arena

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